Sunday 15 July 2012

Market Update - 16 July 2012

Market Update - 16 July 2012


·      Markets were up on Friday NY time as the earning season continues with JP Morgan leading the way.
·      JP Morgan reported their 2Q earnings before the bell on Friday and after revising Q1 earnings lower and reporting a $4.4bn pre-tax loss in Q2 the bank’s CEO Jamie Dimon said JP will probably post record earnings in 2012. EPS was 67c versus a forecast of 76c while the bank said a worst case loss for the trading incident would be $7.5bn. The stock surged 6% in the session, dragging the rest of the S&P financial sector with it. Wells Fargo also reported in line with expectations; it rose 3% on the day.
·      USDMYR opened a tad lower at 3.1750-3.1810 as it is still stuck in the range trade, Asian currency did not appreciate much as investor confidence on the underlying and also the China slowdown is a drag on USD/Asia.
 
·      Despite Moody’s downgrading Italian govt bonds by 2 notches, the Euro managed a good rally and remains strong this morning, up a big figure from its Friday low, last trade 1.2271. Spanish and Italian bond yields were up 3 and 15bps respectively despite Italy auctioning 3yr bonds at a substantially lower yield than in June (4.65% vs 5.3%).
 
·      Equity indices were in the black across the board with the Euro Stoxx rising 1.39%; the DAX was the best performer (up 2.15%) while the S&P added 1.65% and the DOW climbed 1.62%.
·      Consumer confidence in the US fell to a seven month low but is still at the higher end of its post GFC range at 72. Also producer prices printed stronger than expected on surging food prices.
·      Spanish lenders net borrowings from the ECB jumped to a record €337bln in June. This increased reliance on ECB funding blamed on a flight of deposits from Spanish banks.
·      2012 voting FOMC member Dennis Lockhardt has indicated that unless the output and employment data picks up in coming months he will be voting for additional asset purchases. There are already 4/10 members who voted for additional purchases in July.
·      Watch out for more news on potential QE3!

No comments:

Post a Comment